Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related death worldwide, and heterogeneity of HCC is the major barrier in improving patient outcome. To stratify HCC patients with different degrees of malignancy and provide precise treatment strategies, we reconstructed the tumor evolution trajectory with the help of scRNA-seq data and established a 30-gene prognostic model to identify the malignant state in HCC. Patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. C-index and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve confirmed the excellent predictive value of this model. Downstream analysis revealed the underlying molecular and functional characteristics of this model, including significantly higher genomic instability and stronger proliferation/progression potential in the high-risk group. In summary, we established a novel prognostic model to overcome the barriers caused by HCC heterogeneity and provide the possibility of better clinical management for HCC patients to improve their survival outcomes.Copyright © 2021 Wang, Yu, Cai, Ma, Yang, Zhao, Jiang, Zhang and Yu.