高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Development and validation of a simple-to-use nomogram for predicting severe scrub typhus in children

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Kunming Childrens Hosp, Dept Infect Dis 2, Yunnan Key Specialty Pediat Infect Training & Educ, Kunming Key Specialty Pediat Infect, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China [2]Kunming Univ Sci & Technol, Fac Life Sci & Technol, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China [3]First Peoples Hosp Yunnan Prov, Dept Reprod Gynecol, Kunming, Peoples R China
出处:
ISSN:

摘要:
Objective This study aimed to develop and validate a simple-to-use nomogram for predicting severe scrub typhus (ST) in children. Methods A retrospective study of 256 patients with ST was performed at the Kunming Children's Hospital from January 2015 to November 2022. ALL patients were divided into a common and severe group based on the severity of the disease. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was used to identify the optimal predictors, and the predictive nomogram was plotted by multivariable logistic regression. The nomogram was assessed by calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility. Results LASSO regression analysis identified that hemoglobin count (Hb), platelet count (PLT), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatine kinase isoenzyme MB(CK-MB) and hypoproteinemia were the optimal predictors for severe ST. The nomogram was plotted by the six predictors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the nomogram was 0.870(95% CI = 0.812 similar to 0.928) in training set and 0.839(95% CI = 0.712 similar to 0.967) in validation set. The calibration curve demonstrated that the nomogram was well-fitted, and the decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the nomogram was clinically beneficial. Conclusions This study developed and validated a simple-to-use nomogram for predicting severe ST in children based on six predictors including Hb, PLT, LDH, BUN, CK-MB and hypoproteinemia, demonstrating excellent predictive accuracy for the data, though external and prospective validation is required to assess its potential clinical utility.

基金:
语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2025]版:
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 热带医学 2 区 寄生虫学
JCR分区:
出版当年[2024]版:
最新[2023]版:
Q1 PARASITOLOGY Q1 TROPICAL MEDICINE

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2024版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2023版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Kunming Childrens Hosp, Dept Infect Dis 2, Yunnan Key Specialty Pediat Infect Training & Educ, Kunming Key Specialty Pediat Infect, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China [2]Kunming Univ Sci & Technol, Fac Life Sci & Technol, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:89347 今日访问量:0 总访问量:755 更新日期:2025-06-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 云南省第一人民医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:云南省昆明市西山区金碧路157号 ICP备案:滇ICP备15003244号