Incidence, mortality, and survival associated with acute leukaemia subtypes by age group in China: a population-based cancer registry analysis and cohort study
机构:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Ruijin Hosp,State Key Lab Med Genom, Shanghai Inst Haematol,Res Unit Haematol Malignanc, Chinese Acad Med Sci,Sch Med,Natl Res Ctr Translat, Shanghai, Peoples R China[2]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Key Lab Paediat Haematol & Oncol, Dept Haematol & Oncol,Sch Med,Minist Hlth, Natl Childrens Med Ctr,Shanghai Childrens Med Ctr, Shanghai, Peoples R China首都医科大学附属北京儿童医院[3]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Natl Canc Ctr, Off Canc Registry, Beijing, Peoples R China[4]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Natl Clin Res Ctr Canc, Beijing, Peoples R China[5]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Canc Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China[6]Natl Ctr Chron & Noncommunicable Dis Control & Pre, Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China[7]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Res Ctr Big Data & Artificial Intelligence Med, Guangzhou, Peoples R China中山大学附属第一医院[8]Soochow Univ, Inst Blood & Marrow Transplantat, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Hematol,Jiangsu Inst Haemat, Dept Hematol,Affiliated Hosp 1,Natl Clin Res Ctr H, Suzhou, Peoples R China[9]Zhejiang Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Sch Med, Dept Haematol, Hangzhou, Peoples R China浙江大学医学院附属第一医院[10]Zhengzhou Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Haematol, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China[11]China Med Univ, Hosp 1, Dept Haematol, Shenyang, Peoples R China[12]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Haematol, Chengdu, Peoples R China四川大学华西医院[13]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Union Hosp, Inst Haematol, Tongji Med Coll, Wuhan, Peoples R China华中科技大学同济医学院附属协和医院[14]Nanchang Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Jiangxi Med Coll, Ctr Haematol, Nanchang, Peoples R China[15]First Hosp Jilin Univ, Dept Haematol, Changchun, Peoples R China[16]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Natl Clin Res Ctr Blood Dis,CAMS Ctr Stem Cell Med, Inst Hematol & Blood Dis Hosp,PUMC Dept Stem Cell, State Key Lab Expt Hematol,Haihe Lab Cell Ecosyst, Tianjin, Peoples R China[17]Army Med Univ, Xinqiao Hosp, Med Ctr Hematol, Chongqing, Peoples R China[18]Peking Univ, Peoples Hosp, Beijing Key Lab Hematopoiet Stem Cell Transplanta, Inst Hematol,Natl Clin Res Ctr Hematol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China[19]Southern Med Univ, Nanfang Hosp, Dept Haematol, Guangzhou, Peoples R China[20]Univ Sci & Technol China, Affiliated Hosp USTC 1, Dept Haematol, Div Life Sci & Med, Hefei, Peoples R China[21]Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Haematol, Xian, Peoples R China[22]Henan Prov Peoples Hosp, Dept Haematol, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China[23]Kunming Univ Sci & Technol, Peoples Hosp Yunnan Prov 1, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Haematol, Kunming, Peoples R China内科片血液内科云南省第一人民医院[24]Nanjing Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Jiangsu Prov Hosp, Dept Haematol, Nanjing, Peoples R China江苏省人民医院[25]Zhengzhou Univ, Affiliated Canc Hosp, Henan Canc Hosp, Dept Haematol, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China河南省肿瘤医院[26]Guangxi Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Haematol, Nanning, Peoples R China[27]Guizhou Med Univ, Haematopoiet Stem Cell Transplantat Ctr Guizhou Pr, Key Laboratoryof Haematol Dis Diagnost, Guiyang, Peoples R China[28]Guizhou Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Treat Ctr Guizhou Prov, Guiyang, Peoples R China[29]Dalian Med Univ, Liaoning Med Ctr Haematopoiet Stem Cell Transplant, Dept Haematol,Hosp 2,Dalian Key Lab Haematol, Dalian Key Lab Haematol,Liaoning Key Lab Haematopo, Dalian, Peoples R China[30]Chongqing Med Univ, Natl Clin Res Ctr Child Hlth & Disorders, Dept Haematol & Oncol, Childrens Hosp,Minist Educ,Key Lab Child Dev & Dis, Chongqing, Peoples R China[31]Zhejiang Univ, Sch Med, Childrens Hosp, Hangzhou, Peoples R China[32]Zhengzhou Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Paediat, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China[33]Sichuan Univ, West China Univ Hosp 2, Key Lab Birth Defects & Related Dis Women & Childr, Minist Educ, Chengdu, Peoples R China[34]Guangzhou Med Univ, Guangzhou Women & Childrens Med Ctr, Dept Haematol & Oncol, Guangzhou, Peoples R China[35]Fujian Med Univ, Fujian Inst Haematol, Fujian Prov Key Lab Haematol, Union Hosp, Fuzhou, Peoples R China[36]Xian Childrens Hosp, Dept Haematol, Xian, Peoples R China[37]Guangxi Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Paediat, Nanning, Peoples R China[38]Nanjing Med Univ, Childrens Hosp, Dept Haematol & Oncol, Nanjing, Peoples R China[39]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Heart Ctr, Sch Med, Shanghai, Peoples R China[40]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Inst Paediat Congenital Heart Dis, Shanghai Childrens Med Ctr, Natl Childrens Med Ctr,Sch Med, Shanghai, Peoples R China首都医科大学附属北京儿童医院[41]Chinese Acad Med Sci & Peking Union Med Coll, Natl Canc Ctr, Dept Thorac Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China
出处:
ISSN:
摘要:
Background Acute leukaemia represents a crucial health challenge. However, nationwide data delineating the incidence of acute leukaemia subtypes, as well as mortality and survival outcomes, remain scarce in China. We aimed to provide a comprehensive assessment of the epidemiology of acute leukaemia subtypes across China. Methods We conducted a population-based cancer registry analysis and cohort study in China, by integrating data from five national databases through unique national identification numbers. The main outcomes were age-standardised rates (ASRs) for incidence and mortality and overall survival for acute leukaemia subtypes. Acute leukaemia incidence and mortality data in 2019 were extracted from National Cancer Centre (NCC) registries linked to the Hospital Quality Monitoring System (HQMS), stratified by age, sex, and region. ASRs were calculated with Segi's world standard population with 95% CIs across the general population. For the survival analysis, we established a cohort from the Chinese Childhood Leukaemia Registry (33 530 children aged 0-14 years) and National Adult Acute Leukaemia Registry of China (71 477 adults aged >= 15 years) for 2016-20, integrated with the Cause of Death Reporting System and HQMS. Patients were stratified by subtype, age, sex, region, molecular characteristics, treatment modalities, and diagnosis period (2016-18 vs 2019-20). Overall survival and cause-specific survival were assessed with the Kaplan-Meier method at multiple timepoints (1 month, and year 1 to year 5) in our cohort. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors. Findings Based on NCC registries covering a population of 628<middle dot>4 million, we estimated 43 275 new acute leukaemia cases and 27 049 deaths in 2019 in China, with an ASR for incidence 2<middle dot>83 (95% CI 2<middle dot>78-2<middle dot>88) per 100 000 population and an ASR for mortality of 1<middle dot>51 (1<middle dot>48-1<middle dot>54) per 100 000 population. The ASR for the incidence of non-acute promyelocytic leukaemia-acute myeloid leukaemia was 1<middle dot>24 (95% CI 1<middle dot>21-1<middle dot>26) per 100 000 population, that of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia was 0<middle dot>92 (0<middle dot>89-0<middle dot>95) per 100 000 population, and that of acute promyelocytic leukaemia was 0<middle dot>22 (0<middle dot>21-0<middle dot>23) per 100 000 population. The incidence of acute leukaemia spiked in children aged 1-4 years (4<middle dot>54 per 100 000), then declined, and then rose markedly after age 60 years, peaking at 9<middle dot>33 per 100 000 in people aged 75-79 years, before declining, while overall mortality remained relatively low across younger age groups (0-44 years), then increased progressively with advancing age, from 1<middle dot>23 per 100 000 in adults aged 45-49 years to 8<middle dot>77 per 100 000 in those aged 80-84 years. In children, 5-year overall survival was 66<middle dot>5% (95% CI 65<middle dot>3-67<middle dot>9) for non-acute promyelocytic leukaemia acute myeloid leukaemia, 91<middle dot>1% (89<middle dot>6-92<middle dot>6) for acute promyelocytic leukaemia, and 85<middle dot>4% (84<middle dot>9-85<middle dot>8) for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia; in adults, 5-year overall survival was 23<middle dot>9% (23<middle dot>4-24<middle dot>3) for non-acute promyelocytic leukaemia acute myeloid leukaemia, 82<middle dot>5% (81<middle dot>7-83<middle dot>4) for acute promyelocytic leukaemia, and 30<middle dot>1% (29<middle dot>2-30<middle dot>9) for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia. Survival improved in the more recent period (2019-20 vs 2016-18: hazard ratio 0<middle dot>97 [95% CI 0<middle dot>95-0<middle dot>99]; p=0<middle dot>0014), particularly among younger adults with non-acute promyelocytic leukaemia acute myeloid leukaemia (aged <60 years) and acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (aged <40 years), with improvements primarily attributable to expanded application of allogeneic haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation. However, prognosis remained poor in patients with acute leukaemia aged 60 years and older (5-year overall survival 14<middle dot>9% [95% CI 14<middle dot>3-15<middle dot>5] in patients aged 60-74 years, and 4<middle dot>8% [4<middle dot>2-5<middle dot>4] in patients aged >= 75 years). Interpretation This comprehensive nationwide study of acute leukaemia incidence, mortality and survival outcomes across China establishes age-specific epidemiological benchmarks, enabling ongoing risk factor monitoring, while supporting expanded transplantation access for eligible patients and highlighting the urgent need for novel, less toxic therapies for older patients who bear a disproportionately higher disease burden. Funding State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Double First-Class Project, Overseas Expertise Introduction Project for Discipline Innovation, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Innovative Research Team of Highlevel Local Universities in Shanghai, Shanghai Guangci Translational Medical Research Development Foundation, and CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences. Copyright (c) 2025 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.
基金:
State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics [WF510162602]; Double First-Class Project; Overseas Expertise Introduction Project for Discipline Innovation; National Natural Science Foundation of China; Innovative Research Team of High-level Local Universities in Shanghai; Shanghai Guangci Translational Medical Research Development Foundation; CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences
第一作者机构:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Ruijin Hosp,State Key Lab Med Genom, Shanghai Inst Haematol,Res Unit Haematol Malignanc, Chinese Acad Med Sci,Sch Med,Natl Res Ctr Translat, Shanghai, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Ruijin Hosp,State Key Lab Med Genom, Shanghai Inst Haematol,Res Unit Haematol Malignanc, Chinese Acad Med Sci,Sch Med,Natl Res Ctr Translat, Shanghai, Peoples R China[*1]Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Med, Ruijin Hosp, Shanghai 200025, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Yin Wei,Yan Xiaoyu,Cai Jiaoyang,et al.Incidence, mortality, and survival associated with acute leukaemia subtypes by age group in China: a population-based cancer registry analysis and cohort study[J].LANCET HAEMATOLOGY.2025,12(10):e808-e822.
APA:
Yin, Wei,Yan, Xiaoyu,Cai, Jiaoyang,Han, Bingfeng,Yin, Peng...&Chen, Sai-Juan.(2025).Incidence, mortality, and survival associated with acute leukaemia subtypes by age group in China: a population-based cancer registry analysis and cohort study.LANCET HAEMATOLOGY,12,(10)
MLA:
Yin, Wei,et al."Incidence, mortality, and survival associated with acute leukaemia subtypes by age group in China: a population-based cancer registry analysis and cohort study".LANCET HAEMATOLOGY 12..10(2025):e808-e822