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Prediction algorithm for public health and emergency monitoring based on a social network

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机构: [a]Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, China [b]Yunnan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yunnan, China [c]1st People's Hospital of Yunnan Province, Yunnan, China
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关键词: Influenza Prediction algorithm Public health surveillance Social network

摘要:
The progress and development of social networks have significantly enriched data information. The analysis of disease information extracted from social networks makes the development of public health convenient. In this study, the general and emergent features of influenza were used as examples, and the Chinese microblogging website Sina Weibo was used as the main data source. Moreover, auxiliary analysis with reference data for PM2.5 was conducted. The source data were processed via keyword filtering, and results of the k-nearest neighbors and support vector machine algorithms were compared. The results of the optimal algorithm were adopted as the core data, which were then compared with the data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to verify the validity of the former. In addition, the correlation was verified with reference PM2.5 data. Finally, a dynamic Bayesian algorithm and a hidden Markov model were used to validate the accuracy of the prediction algorithm. In practical applications, the proposed algorithm can effectively control the potential of a large-scale epidemic, thereby making it helpful in monitoring public health.

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出版当年[2017]版:
大类 | 4 区 工程技术
小类 | 4 区 生物工程与应用微生物 4 区 食品科技
最新[2023]版:
第一作者:
第一作者机构: [a]Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, China
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