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Exploring and identifying the imaging biomarkers for predicting anti-VEGF treatment response in polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy: a prospective multicenter study

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机构: [1]Department of Ophthalmology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China. [2]Key Laboratory of Ocular Fundus Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China. [3]Chongqing Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Chongqing Eye Institute, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China. [4]Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China. [5]Department of Medical Retinal and Neuro-Ophthalmology, Tianjin Medical University Eye Hospital, Tianjin, China. [6]Department of Ophthalmology, Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China. [7]Department of Ophthalmology, The No. 4 Hospital (Eye hospital) of Zhangjiakou, Zhangjiakou, China. [8]Department of Ophthalmology, Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University), Changsha, China. [9]Department of Ophthalmology, Wuhan Hospital of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Wuhan, China. [10]Department of Ophthalmology, Peking University International Hospital, Beijing, China. [11]Department of Ophthalmology, Shaoguan Aier Eye Hospital, Shaoguan, China. [12]Department of Ophthalmology, BaoTou Eighth Hospital, Baotou, China. [13]Department of Ophthalmology, Foshan Fosun Chancheng Hospital, Foshan, China. [14]Department of Ophthalmology, The Tenth Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical, University (Dongguan People's Hospital), Dongguan, China. [15]Department of Ophthalmology, Guannan County First People's Hospital, Taizhou, China. [16]Department of Ophthalmology, Dehong People's Hospital of Yunnan Province, Dehong, China.
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关键词: Polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy subfoveal choroidal thickness choroidal vascularity index anti-VEGF nomogram

摘要:
Polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy (PCV) is a hemorrhagic fundus disease that can lead to permanent vision loss. Predicting the treatment response to anti-VEGF monotherapy in PCV is consistently challenging. We aimed to conduct a prospective multicenter study to explore and identify the imaging biomarkers for predicting the anti-VEGF treatment response in PCV patients, establish predictive model, and undergo multicenter validation.This prospective multicenter study utilized clinical characteristics and images of treatment naïve PCV patients from 15 ophthalmic centers nationwide to screen biomarkers, develop model, and validate its performance. Patients from Peking Union Medical College Hospital were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set. A nomogram was established by univariate, LASSO regression, and multivariate regression analysis. Patients from the other 14 centers served as an external test set. Area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were calculated. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) were utilized to evaluate the practical utility in clinical decision-making.The eye distribution for the training set, internal validation set, and external test set were 66, 31, and 71, respectively. The 'Good responder' exhibited a thinner subfoveal choroidal thickness (SFCT) (230.67 ± 61.96 vs. 314.42 ± 88.00 μm, p < 0.001), lower choroidal vascularity index (CVI) (0.31 ± 0.08 vs. 0.36 ± 0.05, p = 0.006), fewer choroidal vascular hyperpermeability (CVH) (31.0 vs. 62.2%, p = 0.012), and more intraretinal fluid (IRF) (58.6 vs. 29.7%, p = 0.018). SFCT (OR 0.990; 95% CI 0.981-0.999; p = 0.033) and CVI (OR 0.844; 95% CI 0.732-0.971; p = 0.018) were ultimately included as the optimal predictive biomarkers and presented in the form of a nomogram. The model demonstrated AUC of 0.837 (95% CI 0.738-0.936), 0.891 (95% CI 0.765-1.000), and 0.901 (95% CI 0.824-0.978) for predicting 'Good responder' in the training set, internal validation set, and external test set, respectively, with excellent sensitivity, specificity, and practical utility.Thinner SFCT and lower CVI can serve as imaging biomarkers for predicting good treatment response to anti-VEGF monotherapy in PCV patients. The nomogram based on these biomarkers exhibited satisfactory performances.

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出版当年[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 医学:内科
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大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Ophthalmology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China. [2]Key Laboratory of Ocular Fundus Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Department of Ophthalmology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China. [2]Key Laboratory of Ocular Fundus Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
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