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First-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein is not a good predictor for adverse pregnancy outcomes: a retrospective study of 3325 cases

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机构: [1]First Peoples Hosp Yunnan Prov, Natl Hlth Commiss Key Lab Periconcept Hlth Birth, Yunnan Prov Clin Med Res Ctr Birth Defects & Rare, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, 157 Jinbi Rd, Kunming 650032, Yunnan, Peoples R China
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关键词: Alpha-fetoprotein First-trimester Preterm birth Stillbirth Preeclampsia Small for gestational age

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Background It is well known that second-trimester maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MS-AFP) is a predictor for adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs), such as preterm birth, stillbirth, preeclampsia and small for gestational age (SGA). However, it is unknown whether first-trimester MS-AFP is also predictive of APOs. Methods We retrospectively reviewed the data on the first-trimester MS-AFP levels and pregnancy outcomes of 3325 singleton pregnant women. The cutoff value of 2.5 multiple of the median (MoM) was used to evaluate the risks of APOs regarding MS-AFP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive efficiencies of MS-AFP to these disorders. Results A total of 181 pregnancies resulted in preterm birth, 32 in stillbirth, 81 in preeclampsia, and 362 in SGA. Compared to women with MS-AFP < 2.5MoM, those with MS-AFP >= 2.5MoM had increased risks (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval) of preterm birth (2.53, 1.653.88), preeclampsia (3.05, 1.715.43) and SGA (1.90, 1.342.69), and had an earlier distribution of gestational weeks at delivery (P = 0.004) and a lower distribution of neonatal birth weights (P = 0.000), but the actual between-group differences were minuscule. The areas under ROC curves were 0.572 (P = 0.001), 0.579 (P = 0.015) and 0.565 (P = 0.000) for preterm birth, preeclampsia and SGA, respectively. Subdivisions for the disorders did not obviously improve the performances of MS-AFP. Conclusions Elevated first-trimester MS-AFP is associated with increased risk of preterm birth, preeclampsia and SGA. However, the predictive efficiencies were low and it is not a good predictor for these APOs.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 妇产科学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 妇产科学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]First Peoples Hosp Yunnan Prov, Natl Hlth Commiss Key Lab Periconcept Hlth Birth, Yunnan Prov Clin Med Res Ctr Birth Defects & Rare, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, 157 Jinbi Rd, Kunming 650032, Yunnan, Peoples R China
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