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Years of life lost with premature death due to ambient temperatures in a southwest plateau region of China: a cause-specific and individual characteristics stratified mortality study

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机构: [1]Department of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University MedicalCollege, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, China [2]Department of Science and Education, Baoan Central Hospital ofShenzhen, Shenzhen 518102, Guangdong, China [3]Yuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Yuxi 653000, Yunnan, China
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关键词: Cold temperature Heat temperature Years of life lost Disease burden Non-accidental mortality Effect modification

摘要:
We aimed to explore whether there were cold and heat temperature adverse effects on years of life lost (YLL) for non-accidental mortality in Yuxi, a southwest plateau region of China. From data for 89,467 non-accidental deaths over an 8-year study period, we used a general linear regression model combined with a distributed lag non-linear model to assess the burden of disease non-accidental mortality due to ambient temperature with the YLL indicator. We estimated the mean YLL change per 1 degrees C decrease from the 25th to 1st percentile mean temperature as the cold effect and per 1 degrees C increase from the 75th to 99th percentile as the heat effect. The 95% empirical confidence intervals (eCIs) were calculated by using a bootstrap simulation method. The exposure-response curve between average temperature and YLL was U-shaped. The cold effect peaked at the first day after exposure and disappeared at 2 weeks, and the heat effect only lasted for the first 3 days. A per 1 degrees C decrease from the 25th to 1st mean temperature percentile was associated with an increase of 15.6 (95% eCI: 2.4, 22.9) in YLL for non-accidental diseases, and the cumulative effects due to cold were stronger in contrast to that attributed by heat. Cold temperature had a significant impact on YLL among the subgroups, with higher YLL in cardiovascular disease, stroke, males, Han nationality, married, and those engaged in agriculture than their corresponding categories. An increasing death burden of non-accidental in Yuxi of China due to cold temperature was demonstrated, and the association was also modified by specific disease causes and individual features.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 3 区 地学
小类 | 3 区 生物物理 3 区 环境科学 3 区 气象与大气科学 3 区 生理学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 地球科学
小类 | 3 区 生物物理 3 区 环境科学 3 区 气象与大气科学 3 区 生理学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Q2 BIOPHYSICS Q2 PHYSIOLOGY Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
最新[2023]版:
Q2 BIOPHYSICS Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Q2 PHYSIOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University MedicalCollege, Shantou 515041, Guangdong, China
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